Kvik Haldenvs
Bjarg
COMPLETEDNorway · 2. Division - Group 1 · 10/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bjarg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kvik Halden 2-3 Bjarg
Original prediction
Bjarg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.37 | 27.1% | 34.8% | 7.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.87 | 23.5% | 25.7% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 1.84 | 49.4% | 39.5% | -10.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.84 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Bjarg
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Bjarg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Kvik HaldenWLLLD
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
BjargWWLWW
GF 17 · GA 6 · avg 3.40/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Kvik HaldenBjarg
66.7Attack83.3
83.3Defence83.3
50.0Form66.7
62.5Power74.3
1.64xG1.60