KVC Westerlovs
Standard Liege
COMPLETEDBelgium · Jupiler Pro League · 9/12/2026, 4:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Standard Liege · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 1-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
KVC Westerlo 4-2 Standard Liege
Original prediction
Standard Liege
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.41 | 38.7% | 28.9% | -9.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 26.5% | 23.2% | -3.2 pts |
| Away | 2.67 | 34.8% | 47.9% | 13.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.1–37%
Predicted outcome
Standard Liege
Probability
47.9%
Model confidence
47.9%
Standard Liege has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20