GGOALVIO

Belgium · Jupiler Pro League · 10/24/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

KVC Westerlo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

KVC Westerlo 4-4 SK Beveren

Original prediction

KVC Westerlo

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.9747.2%57.6%10.3 pts
Draw3.7225.1%20.4%-4.7 pts
Away3.3627.7%22.1%-5.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.72 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

10.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–110%
  2. 2.1–18%
  3. 3.3–18%

Predicted outcome

KVC Westerlo

Probability

57.6%

Model confidence

57.6%

KVC Westerlo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KVC WesterloWWWWW

GF 17 · GA 3 · avg 3.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
SK BeverenWLLWW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
KVC WesterloSK Beveren
83.3Attack33.3
29.2Defence50.0
54.2Form37.5
53.8Power41.5
2.50xG1.29
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