GGOALVIO

Belgium · Cup · 10/16/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

KVC Westerlo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

KVC Westerlo 2-0 Patro Eisden

Original prediction

KVC Westerlo

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 1 October 2026 at 14:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.4662.6%41.7%-20.9 pts
Draw4.4320.6%25.4%4.8 pts
Away5.4216.8%32.9%16.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.46 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-20.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–110%
  2. 2.1–29%
  3. 3.2–18%

Predicted outcome

KVC Westerlo

Probability

41.7%

Model confidence

41.7%

KVC Westerlo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KVC WesterloWWWWD

GF 17 · GA 5 · avg 3.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Patro EisdenWWLLL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
KVC WesterloPatro Eisden
50.0Attack66.7
50.0Defence66.7
50.0Form100.0
50.0Power80.3
1.69xG1.86
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