GGOALVIO

Belgium · Jupiler Pro League · 10/11/2026, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

KVC Westerlo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

KVC Westerlo 5-1 Antwerp

Original prediction

KVC Westerlo

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 11 September 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.0445.6%51.0%5.4 pts
Draw3.7125.1%21.0%-4.0 pts
Away3.1729.3%28.0%-1.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.04 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

5.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–17%
  2. 2.2–27%
  3. 3.3–17%

Predicted outcome

KVC Westerlo

Probability

51.0%

Model confidence

51.0%

KVC Westerlo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KVC WesterloWWWDL

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
AntwerpLLLLD

GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
KVC WesterloAntwerp
71.4Attack52.4
23.8Defence28.6
47.6Form33.3
47.2Power39.7
2.77xG1.87
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