GGOALVIO

Sweden · Division 2 - Norra Svealand · 9/3/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Karlberg · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-4

Highconfidence

Kvarnsveden are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Karlberg are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Karlberg hold a 60.9-point power-rating edge (11.6 v 72.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 92.1% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Karlberg holds the strongest overall chance at 92% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Karlberg

Probability

92.1%

Model confidence

92.1%

Karlberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KvarnsvedenDLLLL

GF 2 · GA 14 · avg 0.40/2.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
KarlbergWWWWL

GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
KvarnsvedenKarlberg
19.2Attack76.9
0.0Defence67.9
6.4Form75.6
11.6Power72.6
0.53xG4.39
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