Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ryazan · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Kvant 0-2 Ryazan, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Kvant 1-3 Ryazan
Original prediction
Ryazan
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 23.67 | 3.8% | 4.4% | 0.6 pts |
| Draw | 7.73 | 11.7% | 11.8% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 1.07 | 84.5% | 83.7% | -0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.07 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.8 pts
Projected Score
Kvant 0–2 Ryazan
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Ryazan
Probability
83.7%
Model confidence
83.7%
Ryazan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KvantLLLLL
GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
RyazanWDWWW
GF 9 · GA 1 · avg 1.80/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
KvantRyazan
33.3Attack53.3
3.2Defence80.0
9.5Form61.7
20.0Power64.6
0.51xG2.67