Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Orel · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Kvant are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Orel are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Orel hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (21.4 v 43.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.7% in the Second League - Group 3, while Orel holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Orel
Probability
52.7%
Model confidence
52.7%
Orel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80