Kvantvs
Avangard Kursk
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 3 · 9/21/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Avangard Kursk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (11%), 1-1 (11%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kvant 1-1 Avangard Kursk
Original prediction
Avangard Kursk
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.73 | 15.7% | 15.5% | -0.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.80 | 18.7% | 19.3% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 1.36 | 65.7% | 65.2% | -0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.80 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–211%
- 2.1–111%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Avangard Kursk
Probability
65.2%
Model confidence
65.2%
Avangard Kursk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20