GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 3 · 7/29/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kvant · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Kvant are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.50 conceded, while Arsenal Tula II are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (LWDW), averaging 1.25 scored and 1.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Arsenal Tula II hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (21.4 v 29.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.0% in the Second League - Group 3, while Kvant holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kvant

Probability

38.0%

Model confidence

38.0%

Kvant has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KvantWL

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/3.50

BTTS 0/2O2.5 1/2
Arsenal Tula IILWDW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.25/1.25

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
KvantArsenal Tula II
33.3Attack29.8
7.0Defence28.1
10.5Form21.1
21.4Power29.7
1.51xG1.35
View match centre →