KV Mechelenvs
KVC Westerlo
COMPLETEDBelgium · Jupiler Pro League · 9/5/2026, 4:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KV Mechelen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
KV Mechelen 0-4 KVC Westerlo
Original prediction
KV Mechelen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.07 | 45.2% | 44.4% | -0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 26.2% | 25.1% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 3.27 | 28.5% | 30.6% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
KV Mechelen
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
KV Mechelen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 6 · GA 16 · avg 1.20/3.20