KV Mechelenvs
AS Eupen
COMPLETEDBelgium · Cup · 10/18/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KV Mechelen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
KV Mechelen 5-1 AS Eupen
Original prediction
KV Mechelen
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 October 2026 at 14:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.68 | 54.5% | 40.3% | -14.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.06 | 22.6% | 26.0% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 3.99 | 22.9% | 33.6% | 10.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.68 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
KV Mechelen
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
KV Mechelen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60