KV Mechelenvs
Anderlecht
COMPLETEDBelgium · Jupiler Pro League · 9/11/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Anderlecht · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
KV Mechelen 0-1 Anderlecht
Original prediction
Anderlecht
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.95 | 23.6% | 27.2% | 3.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 26.1% | 26.5% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 1.86 | 50.3% | 46.4% | -3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.86 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Anderlecht
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
46.4%
Anderlecht has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60