GGOALVIO

World · Asian Games · 9/18/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Uzbekistan U23 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Kuwait U23 0-2 Uzbekistan U23

Original prediction

Uzbekistan U23

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home22.324.1%30.7%26.6 pts
Draw7.5812.1%23.0%10.9 pts
Away1.0983.8%46.2%-37.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.09 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-37.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–110%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–27%

Predicted outcome

Uzbekistan U23

Probability

46.2%

Model confidence

46.2%

Uzbekistan U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kuwait U23No completed matches

GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00

BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
Uzbekistan U23WLLLW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Kuwait U23Uzbekistan U23
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.98xG1.69
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