Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kustosija · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Kustosija are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Krka are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Krka hold a 20.7-point power-rating edge (68.0 v 88.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Kustosija holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kustosija
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
36.5%
Kustosija has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 13 · GA 11 · avg 2.60/2.20