Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kustosija · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Kustosija are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Križevci are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WWL), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kustosija hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (68.3 v 63.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.0% in the Second NL, while Kustosija holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kustosija
Probability
48.0%
Model confidence
48.0%
Kustosija has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/1.00