CupCup
Thursday, 23 July 2026Last updated 10:08
Kuressaare

Kuressaare

Home
LL
51
Full time
Welco X

Welco X

Away
Kuressaare Linnastaadion
GoalVio prediction
61% confidence
Kuressaare(61%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Kuressaare
61%
Draw
21%
Welco X
18%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Kuressaare)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Kuressaare)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
KuressaareKuressaare
LLLL

Probability breakdown

61% confidence
Kuressaare61%
Draw21%
Welco X18%

Kuressaare leads with 61% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Kuressaare head into this in Cup fixture at Kuressaare Linnastaadion in mixed form (LL), while Welco X arrive in unknown form.

Kuressaare have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 2 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per home match. Welco X have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Kuressaare and Welco X in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Kuressaare to win with 61% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Kuressaare 6094%, Draw 2075%, Welco X 1831%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Kuressaare

Kuressaare

L
@ Nõmme United
11 Jul 2026
23
L
vs Flora Tallinn
2 Jul 2026
03
L
@ Vaprus
26 Jun 2026
01
L
vs Kalju Nomme
17 May 2026
02

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Kuressaare vs Welco X?

GoalVio's model predicts Kuressaare to win with 61% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Kuressaare vs Welco X?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Kuressaare vs Welco X?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Kuressaare vs Welco X?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more