KuressaarevsVaprus

Kuressaare are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 3.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Vaprus are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Vaprus hold a 3.9-point power-rating edge (39.8 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.5% in the Meistriliiga, while Vaprus holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.