Kuressaarevs
Vaprus
COMPLETEDEstonia · Meistriliiga · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kuressaare · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kuressaare 2-2 Vaprus
Original prediction
Kuressaare
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 41.9% | 40.5% | -1.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.39 | 26.6% | 24.4% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.87 | 31.4% | 35.2% | 3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.39 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Kuressaare
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Kuressaare has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40