Kuressaarevs
Vaprus
COMPLETEDEstonia · Meistriliiga · 3/19/2023, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vaprus · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Kuressaare are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Vaprus are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Vaprus hold a 3.9-point power-rating edge (39.8 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.1% in the Meistriliiga, while Vaprus holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vaprus
Probability
36.1%
Model confidence
36.1%
Vaprus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20