Kuressaarevs
Trans Narva
COMPLETEDEstonia · Meistriliiga · 9/5/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kuressaare · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (12%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kuressaare 3-1 Trans Narva
Original prediction
Kuressaare
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.70 | 33.4% | 56.1% | 22.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 27.8% | 22.7% | -5.0 pts |
| Away | 2.33 | 38.8% | 21.1% | -17.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.70 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
22.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–012%
- 2.2–012%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Kuressaare
Probability
56.1%
Model confidence
56.1%
Kuressaare has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 7 · avg 3.20/1.40
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40