Kuressaarevs
Tammeka
COMPLETEDEstonia · Meistriliiga · 9/13/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tammeka · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kuressaare 1-3 Tammeka
Original prediction
Tammeka
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.68 | 33.4% | 31.4% | -2.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.1% | 25.5% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.26 | 39.5% | 43.1% | 3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.26 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Tammeka
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Tammeka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KuressaareLWDLW
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
TammekaLWLWW
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
KuressaareTammeka
37.0Attack42.3
43.2Defence52.6
34.6Form52.6
40.9Power51.1
1.10xG1.37