Kuressaarevs
Paide
COMPLETEDEstonia · Meistriliiga · 10/24/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Paide · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (12%), 0-2 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kuressaare 0-1 Paide
Original prediction
Paide
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.80 | 23.6% | 21.8% | -1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 24.7% | 23.9% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 1.74 | 51.6% | 54.3% | 2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.74 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–211%
Predicted outcome
Paide
Probability
54.3%
Model confidence
54.3%
Paide has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KuressaareLWWWD
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
PaideWWLWW
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
KuressaarePaide
35.4Attack54.2
46.9Defence59.4
36.5Form59.4
42.1Power59.3
0.88xG1.67