KuressaarevsNõmme United

Kuressaare are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Nõmme United are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Nõmme United hold a 29.8-point power-rating edge (63.0 v 92.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Nõmme United holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.