Kuressaarevs
Flora Tallinn
COMPLETEDEstonia · Meistriliiga · 10/11/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Flora Tallinn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kuressaare 2-0 Flora Tallinn
Original prediction
Flora Tallinn
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.52 | 20.1% | 19.0% | -1.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.07 | 22.3% | 21.5% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 1.57 | 57.7% | 59.6% | 1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–210%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Flora Tallinn
Probability
59.6%
Model confidence
59.6%
Flora Tallinn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80