Kuressaarevs
FC Levadia Tallinn
COMPLETEDEstonia · Meistriliiga · 10/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Levadia Tallinn · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (15%), 0-3 (13%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kuressaare 0-2 FC Levadia Tallinn
Original prediction
FC Levadia Tallinn
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 9.99 | 9.0% | 6.5% | -2.6 pts |
| Draw | 5.26 | 17.1% | 13.7% | -3.5 pts |
| Away | 1.22 | 73.8% | 79.8% | 6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–215%
- 2.0–313%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
FC Levadia Tallinn
Probability
79.8%
Model confidence
79.8%
FC Levadia Tallinn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 21 · GA 2 · avg 4.20/0.40