GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga B · 3/30/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tulevik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-3

Highconfidence

Kuressaare II are 3W-0D-0L in their last 3 (WWW), averaging 1.67 scored and 0.67 conceded, while Tulevik are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Tulevik hold an 8.2-point power-rating edge (49.7 v 58.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.2% in the Esiliiga B, while Tulevik holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 89% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tulevik

Probability

47.2%

Model confidence

47.2%

Tulevik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kuressaare IIWWW

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.67/0.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
TulevikLLLLW

GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Kuressaare IITulevik
61.1Attack86.4
35.2Defence34.8
50.9Form54.5
49.7Power58.0
2.69xG3.35
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