Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KuPS W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (8%), 2-1 (8%), 4-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
KuPS W 2-1 Ilves W
Original prediction
KuPS W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–18%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.4–16%
Predicted outcome
KuPS W
Probability
67.5%
Model confidence
67.5%
KuPS W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KuPS WWLWLL
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Ilves WLLWDW
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
KuPS WIlves W
70.8Attack58.3
50.0Defence35.4
64.6Form45.8
62.2Power47.7
3.14xG1.57