Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KuPS W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
KuPS W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while HPS W are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and KuPS W hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (60.9 v 58.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.1% in the Kansallinen Liiga, while KuPS W holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
KuPS W
Probability
45.3%
Model confidence
11.1%
KuPS W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 7 · avg 3.40/1.40
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80