Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HJK W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
KuPS W are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while HJK W are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and HJK W hold a 25.4-point power-rating edge (60.9 v 86.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.0% in the Kansallinen Liiga, while HJK W holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
HJK W
Probability
66.1%
Model confidence
9.0%
HJK W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20