Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KuPS · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: KuPS 1-0 VPS, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
KuPS 2-0 VPS
Original prediction
KuPS
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.55 | 59.5% | 55.5% | -4.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.93 | 23.5% | 26.0% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 5.42 | 17.0% | 18.6% | 1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.55 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.1 pts
Projected Score
KuPS 1–0 VPS
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
KuPS
Probability
55.5%
Model confidence
55.5%
KuPS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KuPSLLLWD
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
VPSWLLLW
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
KuPSVPS
50.6Attack38.3
67.9Defence61.7
59.3Form48.1
60.6Power50.4
1.28xG0.66