KuPSvs
Trabzonspor
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa Conference League · 10/15/2026, 4:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Trabzonspor · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
KuPS 2-4 Trabzonspor
Original prediction
Trabzonspor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.50 | 17.1% | 33.3% | 16.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.22 | 22.3% | 27.8% | 5.5 pts |
| Away | 1.55 | 60.6% | 38.9% | -21.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.55 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Trabzonspor
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Trabzonspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40