Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KuPS · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
KuPS are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while SJK are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and KuPS hold a 25.7-point power-rating edge (67.9 v 42.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.6% in the Veikkausliiga, while KuPS holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
KuPS
Probability
70.4%
Model confidence
14.6%
KuPS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20