GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · 8/27/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

KuPS · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

KuPS 1-0 Shamrock Rovers

Original prediction

KuPS

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.0644.9%40.3%-4.7 pts
Draw3.1829.1%28.4%-0.7 pts
Away3.5725.9%31.3%5.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.06 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-4.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–09%

Predicted outcome

KuPS

Probability

40.3%

Model confidence

40.3%

KuPS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KuPSLDWLD

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Shamrock RoversDLLWW

GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
KuPSShamrock Rovers
33.3Attack33.3
66.7Defence66.7
33.3Form33.3
45.3Power45.3
1.44xG1.23
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