KuPSvs
Ilves Tampere
COMPLETEDFinland · Veikkausliiga · 6/23/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KuPS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
KuPS are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Ilves Tampere are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and KuPS hold a 19.4-point power-rating edge (67.9 v 48.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.9% in the Veikkausliiga, while KuPS holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
KuPS
Probability
67.0%
Model confidence
11.9%
KuPS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40