KuPSvs
IFK Mariehamn
SCHEDULEDFinland · Veikkausliiga · 8/23/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KuPS · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0
KuPS are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Mariehamn are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and KuPS hold a 46.1-point power-rating edge (67.9 v 21.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 87.5% in the Veikkausliiga, while KuPS holds the strongest overall chance at 87% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
KuPS
Probability
87.5%
Model confidence
87.5%
KuPS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60