KuPSvs
HJK helsinki
COMPLETEDFinland · Veikkausliiga · 4/26/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KuPS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
KuPS are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while HJK helsinki are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and KuPS hold a 12.6-point power-rating edge (67.9 v 55.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.4% in the Veikkausliiga, while KuPS holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
KuPS
Probability
55.1%
Model confidence
13.4%
KuPS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00