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KuPS logoKuPSvsHJK helsinki logoHJK helsinki

COMPLETED

Finland · Veikkausliiga · 4/26/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

KuPS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Mediumconfidence

KuPS are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while HJK helsinki are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and KuPS hold a 12.6-point power-rating edge (67.9 v 55.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.4% in the Veikkausliiga, while KuPS holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

KuPS

Probability

55.1%

Model confidence

13.4%

KuPS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KuPSWDWWD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
HJK helsinkiWLWLW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
KuPSHJK helsinki
59.6Attack50.9
70.2Defence59.6
70.2Form54.4
67.9Power55.3
1.61xG0.80
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