Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KuPS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
KuPS are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Gnistan are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and KuPS hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (67.9 v 53.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.0% in the Veikkausliiga, while KuPS holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
KuPS
Probability
57.2%
Model confidence
13.0%
KuPS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40