Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KuPS · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
KuPS are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while FF Jaro are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and KuPS hold a 35.1-point power-rating edge (67.9 v 32.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 82.9% in the Veikkausliiga, while KuPS holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
KuPS
Probability
82.9%
Model confidence
82.9%
KuPS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80