GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/28/2025, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

KuPS · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

KuPS are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while FC Midtjylland are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and KuPS hold a 15.0-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.0% in the UEFA Europa League, while KuPS holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

KuPS

Probability

42.0%

Model confidence

42.0%

KuPS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KuPSWLWWW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FC MidtjyllandWWWWD

GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
KuPSFC Midtjylland
33.3Attack0.0
50.0Defence50.0
16.7Form0.0
36.5Power21.5
1.50xG1.14
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