Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KuPS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
KuPS are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Lahti are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and KuPS hold a 15.2-point power-rating edge (67.9 v 52.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.4% in the Veikkausliiga, while KuPS holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
KuPS
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
KuPS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20