Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KuPS · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: KuPS 1-0 AC Oulu, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
KuPS 0-1 AC Oulu
Original prediction
KuPS
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 13:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.52 | 60.7% | 48.1% | -12.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.04 | 22.9% | 28.3% | 5.4 pts |
| Away | 5.63 | 16.4% | 23.6% | 7.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.6 pts
Projected Score
KuPS 1–0 AC Oulu
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
KuPS
Probability
48.1%
Model confidence
48.1%
KuPS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KuPSWDDLW
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
AC OuluLLLDW
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
KuPSAC Oulu
54.7Attack34.7
68.0Defence61.3
64.0Form45.3
63.6Power48.9
1.42xG0.58