KuPS Akatemiavs
SalPa
SCHEDULEDFinland · Ykkönen · 8/29/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SalPa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
KuPS Akatemia are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while SalPa are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and SalPa hold a 19.8-point power-rating edge (33.3 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.9% in the Ykkönen, while SalPa holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
SalPa
Probability
56.0%
Model confidence
7.9%
SalPa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60