KuPS Akatemiavs
SalPa
COMPLETEDFinland · Ykkönen · 8/29/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SalPa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (7%), 2-2 (7%), 1-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
KuPS Akatemia 1-3 SalPa
Original prediction
SalPa
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.42 | 26.5% | 27.6% | 1.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.99 | 22.7% | 18.6% | -4.1 pts |
| Away | 1.78 | 50.8% | 53.8% | 2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.78 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–27%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–37%
Predicted outcome
SalPa
Probability
53.8%
Model confidence
53.8%
SalPa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KuPS AkatemiaWDLLD
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
SalPaWLDWL
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
KuPS AkatemiaSalPa
57.1Attack60.3
23.8Defence46.0
23.8Form52.4
36.4Power53.1
1.92xG2.72