GGOALVIO

Finland · Ykkönen · 8/29/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SalPa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Lowconfidence

KuPS Akatemia are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while SalPa are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and SalPa hold a 19.8-point power-rating edge (33.3 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.9% in the Ykkönen, while SalPa holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SalPa

Probability

56.0%

Model confidence

7.9%

SalPa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KuPS AkatemiaLLDDL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
SalPaLDWLL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
KuPS AkatemiaSalPa
52.6Attack59.6
22.8Defence45.6
19.3Form52.6
33.3Power53.1
1.76xG2.75
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