GGOALVIO

Finland · Ykkönen · 10/7/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

KuPS Akatemia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 3-2 (6%), 2-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

KuPS Akatemia 0-3 Inter Turku II

Original prediction

KuPS Akatemia

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.3638.1%42.2%4.1 pts
Draw4.1121.9%22.2%0.3 pts
Away2.2440.0%35.6%-4.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

4.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–27%
  2. 2.3–26%
  3. 3.2–16%

Predicted outcome

KuPS Akatemia

Probability

42.2%

Model confidence

42.2%

KuPS Akatemia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KuPS AkatemiaLLLWD

GF 11 · GA 14 · avg 2.20/2.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Inter Turku IIWLLLL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
KuPS AkatemiaInter Turku II
56.9Attack50.0
19.4Defence26.4
20.8Form31.9
34.2Power37.1
2.72xG2.29
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