Kungsängenvs
Sunnersta
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Norra Svealand · 10/2/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sunnersta · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (14%), 0-3 (12%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kungsängen 2-1 Sunnersta
Original prediction
Sunnersta
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.30 | 17.1% | 13.0% | -4.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.33 | 20.9% | 17.9% | -3.0 pts |
| Away | 1.46 | 62.0% | 69.1% | 7.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–214%
- 2.0–312%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Sunnersta
Probability
69.1%
Model confidence
69.1%
Sunnersta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80