Kungsängenvs
Falu BS
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Norra Svealand · 9/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Falu BS · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (14%), 0-2 (13%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kungsängen 3-1 Falu BS
Original prediction
Falu BS
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.55 | 25.7% | 17.5% | -8.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 24.7% | 22.4% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 1.84 | 49.6% | 60.1% | 10.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–114%
- 2.0–213%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Falu BS
Probability
60.1%
Model confidence
60.1%
Falu BS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00