Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Motala · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kumla 0-0 Motala
Original prediction
Motala
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.67 | 33.8% | 26.7% | -7.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 26.9% | 24.0% | -2.9 pts |
| Away | 2.29 | 39.4% | 49.4% | 10.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.36 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
Motala
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
49.4%
Motala has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KumlaDLLLW
GF 5 · GA 19 · avg 1.00/3.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
MotalaDLDDL
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
KumlaMotala
33.3Attack46.7
38.3Defence51.7
35.0Form36.7
37.7Power46.0
1.03xG1.62