Kumlavs
IF Karlstad II
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Norra Götaland · 10/17/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kumla · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kumla 3-1 IF Karlstad II
Original prediction
Kumla
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 00:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 42.9% | 43.3% | 0.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 26.1% | 24.5% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.94 | 31.0% | 32.2% | 1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.13 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Kumla
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
Kumla has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00