Kuřimvs
Sokol Tasovice
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 4. liga - Divizie D · 9/5/2026, 8:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kuřim · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (13%), 2-0 (12%), 4-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kuřim 1-1 Sokol Tasovice
Original prediction
Kuřim
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.40 | 64.4% | 81.1% | 16.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.37 | 20.6% | 12.0% | -8.6 pts |
| Away | 5.98 | 15.0% | 6.9% | -8.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.37 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–013%
- 2.2–012%
- 3.4–011%
Predicted outcome
Kuřim
Probability
81.1%
Model confidence
81.1%
Kuřim has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40