Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kuřim · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Kuřim are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Chotebor are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kuřim hold a 31.8-point power-rating edge (71.2 v 39.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 85.9% in the 4. liga - Divizie D, while Kuřim holds the strongest overall chance at 86% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kuřim
Probability
85.9%
Model confidence
85.9%
Kuřim has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40