GGOALVIO

Austria · Regionalliga - West · 10/23/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kufstein · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Kufstein 3-1 SVG Reichenau

Original prediction

Kufstein

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.3738.0%47.4%9.5 pts
Draw3.5325.4%23.9%-1.5 pts
Away2.4636.6%28.6%-7.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.37 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

9.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.1–010%
  3. 3.2–19%

Predicted outcome

Kufstein

Probability

47.4%

Model confidence

47.4%

Kufstein has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KufsteinDWLLL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
SVG ReichenauWWLLL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
KufsteinSVG Reichenau
40.0Attack33.3
43.3Defence40.0
23.3Form30.0
37.9Power37.5
1.57xG1.06
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